Archive for the ‘Market Commentary’ Category

Market Analysis Feb 7 2010 SP 500 Emini ES

Sunday, February 7th, 2010

It’s that time again to take a look and some longer time frame charts in order to evaluate the shorter time frame trading action.

 One of the things I love the most about the markets and trading is the repetition.  When I see the same patterns develop over and over again and recognize these patterns as the very same ones that have delivered profits in the past, I cant help but get excited about the profits to come.

 While some may feel bored by this, it is precisely this phenomenon that allows us to profit from the markets.

 Humans are creatures of habit, doing the same thing over and over, making the same mistakes over and over…. creating the same chart patterns over and over.

Below is one of my favorite that I have shared with you before..

 A situation, that if you were in our chat room in the last week you heard me caution you about the "retail rally" the "Johnny Come Lately"

 In short, a market cannot sustain new highs without broad market participation. The "Tardy to the Party" retail investor has been buying the highs since the beginning of time.. this time is no different

 The SP’s have been diverging on every new high since last August.

The  launch to 1,000 left us an untested relative low at around 980

The ADV-DECL reached its highs of approx. 2400 on that summer rally, but we have not been able retest the ADV-DECL highs on any of the subsequent highs…  There has been less and less participation on each new high! Guess who got is last…..

 
see my chart

I have been a member a little over a year.

I am impressed with the dedication of Greg and his fellow Moderators in providing excellent guidance and support that pays off with profit and peace of mind. Bless you all. AND, the biggest plus is they keep adding new and exciting materials. The newest addition is the 5 X 5 scalper, which for me has been "the instant profit machine "

Angel ( AKA Robert M)

If you have not taken a trial within the last 6 months then Now’s Your Chance!

Join us for a trial, witness all the action LIVE, with Live Charts and Professional Market Commentary from our 18 year Floor Trader

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TradersAudio

Saturday, January 9th, 2010

Interview with Greg Weitzman on Traders Audio 

Learn more about TheTradingZone and the unique trading methods developed by Greg Weitzman, by listening to this intererview below.

This is a 3 part interview conducted with Ben Lichtenstein of Traders Audio.
Traders Audio, the leading distributor of squawk box audio for traders, provides live coverage of all the pit action as it unfolds throughout the trading day!

Interview Part 1   

Interview Part 2    

Interview Part 3    

 


$ES Emini S&P 500 Futures Market Profile Update 1/4/2010

Monday, January 4th, 2010

Futures Market Update

The new year is here and the S&P 500 continued to push higher and test contract highs over the slow holiday trading sessions before the New Year.

Upcoming Financial News Announcements (EST):

S&P 500 Emini ES Futures Market Market Profile® TPO number’s:
UVA (Upper Value Area) 1120.50
POC (Point of Control) 1118.00
LVA (Lower Value Area) 1112.75
 

Take a 2 week trial of our trading chat room.  Watch the Trading Zone methodology and trades called LIVE and REAL TIME. 

www.thetradingzone.com/emini-chat-room

 

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opex options expiration

Tuesday, December 15th, 2009

How to Trade OPEX (Options Expiration)

OPEX brings many new risks to speculative traders that most other trading days do not.
Simply put it is 1 of 4 days of the year (actually 3 days of 12 as the effects of roll over tend to last for 3 days) when all the larger institutional traders Must come to the market and adjust their positions.
On every other trading day the institutional traders can chose to trade or not trade, however on roll over / OPEX this is not the case. As contracts will expire and cease to exist, they therefore must adjust, or "Roll" their contracts forward into new contract months.

In addition, knowing that the institutions will be present and active, there exists a group of traders who specifically take advantage of this dynamic. They are called Spreaders.
A spreader will take a position in both the back month and front month, (the outgoing and incoming contract) in order to scalp or play the spread between the two.
Spread trading requires a very specific skill set and is not for the average day trader or fain of heart.

The 3 days leading ip to OPEX day (3rd Friday), will act differently than most other trading days, and the reasons why have just been explained above. The influence of large institutional trading coupled with spread traders makes navigating the landscape more challenging than other trading days.

Keep in mind that for futures traders the effect of OPEX witll hit the market on the Tuesday  or Wednesday prior to the Friday Expiration. Even though the actual contracts will expire on the 3rd Friday of the month, the institutions must plan ahead for this, and that means the 2 sided effect of OPEX will be seen a few days earlier.

For more information on trading futures contract rollover see this post


Futures Trading Webinar TheTradingZone MarketProfile and Price Action

Monday, December 7th, 2009

 

Attention Traders:
Infinity is pleased to present the following special futures trading webcast. Feel free to register online or contact us if you have any questions or require additional information.
 
 
Event: Using TTZ Methodology to Improve Your Day Trading Strategy
Date: 12/8/09
Time: 3:30 pm CST (Chicago Time)
Presenter: Greg Weitzman
Company: TheTradingZone.com
 
Description:  Market Profile, Pattern recognition and Price Action, are sometimes referred to as a killer combination that can help provide success for active day traders. Greg Weitzman, founder of the TheTradingZone, will review these three core concepts behind his TTZ methodology.
He will explain why he believes using these indicators are simple and allow a trader better concentration, and avoid the ‘subjectivity’ of chasing every trade pattern they may setup.
He will also teach and demonstrate how these methods work in most time frames and almost any liquid market. Attend this webinar to see how the combination of these three common indicator
s can provide incredible accuracy in many markets.
 
Sponsored by Infinity Futures and CME Group
Risk: Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.
CME Group Disclaimer: CME Group is the trademark of CME Group, Inc. The Globe logo® and CME® are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Inc. CBOT® is the trademark of the Board of Trade of the City of Chicago. NYMEX is a trademark of New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc.
 

$ES Emini S&P 500 Futures Market Profile Update 12/7/09

Monday, December 7th, 2009

Futures Market Update

On Friday, the S&P 500 pushed to contract highs only to reject those levels and have a major sell off the remainder of the day.  Also to note, the dollar rallied to monthly highs and metals had a major sell off. 

Upcoming Financial News Announcements (EST):

S&P 500 Emini ES Futures Market Market Profile® TPO number’s:
UVA (Upper Value Area) 1108.25
POC (Point of Control) 1002.75
LVA (Lower Value Area) 1095.75
 

Take a 2 week trial of our trading chat room.  Watch the Trading Zone methodology and trades called LIVE and REAL TIME. 

www.thetradingzone.com/emini-chat-room

 

Check out our Twitter page: www.Twitter.com/TheTradingZone

Become a follower of TheTradingZone on Twitter and receive all of our tweet updates.  We are the leader in #emini tweets.

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$ES Emini S&P 500 Futures Market Profile Update 12/1/09

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

Futures Market Update

 The emini S&P market held value yesterday after trying to test lower value and did not find any interest.

Upcoming Financial News Announcements (EST):

S&P 500 Emini ES Futures Market Market Profile® TPO number’s:
UVA (Upper Value Area) 1093.00
POC (Point of Control) 1088.75
LVA (Lower Value Area) 1086.75
 

Take a 2 week trial of our trading chat room.  Watch the Trading Zone methodology and trades called LIVE and REAL TIME. 

www.thetradingzone.com/emini-chat-room

 

Check out our Twitter page: www.Twitter.com/TheTradingZone

Become a follower of TheTradingZone on Twitter and receive all of our tweet updates.  We are the leader in #emini tweets.

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5×5 countdown

Monday, November 30th, 2009

 The Countdown begins

 Hi fellow trader,
The 5X5 is almost ready for public release!
The 5X5 is a quick scalping setup that I’ve been working on for some time.
 It’s being developed specifically to address the needs of smaller traders who want more frequent trade setups. (up to 3 trade setups per hour! Depending on market conditions)
This also makes it the ideal system for traders who only want to trade for a portion of the day
5 Tick Stops, 5 Tick Profit
Get in, Get Paid, Get Out
!
Existing TTZ members:
The 5X5 will be added to your course materials as soon as the instructional videos are complete.
This is a huge benefit to existing TTZ members, as you benefit whenever we add more
Considering joining TTZ?
The time has never been better!
Our pricing structure will be changing in the New Year, so now is the time to get on board and take advantage of the 5×5 and other improvements.
Contact any member of the TTZ team to find out how you can participate!

Greg W  
954-302-7494  / gregw@thetradingzone.com
Larry G
847-230-4204 / larry@thetradingzone.com
Mike B  
612-424-9776 / mike@thetradingzone.com

Note: The 5 x 5 is set to be released 1st wk of Jan 2010.
Get in today and benefit from 2009 pricing!


you can read more about the 5×5 here
http://thetradingzone.com/5×5-scalp-trade

 


$ES Emini S&P 500 Futures Market Profile Update 11/30/09

Monday, November 30th, 2009

Futures Market Update

 Going into the Thanksgiving weekend, the market sold off on news of Dubai not being able to repay loans they were investing in many U.S. institutions. 

Upcoming Financial News Announcements (EST):

09:45 Chicago PMI
11:00 4-Week Bill Announcement
11:30 3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 6-Month Bill Auction
03:00 Farm Prices
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures Market Market Profile® TPO number’s:
UVA (Upper Value Area) 1097.00
POC (Point of Control) 1091.00
LVA (Lower Value Area) 1088.75
 

Take a 2 week trial of our trading chat room.  Watch the Trading Zone methodology and trades called LIVE and REAL TIME. 

www.thetradingzone.com/emini-chat-room

 

Check out our Twitter page: www.Twitter.com/TheTradingZone

Become a follower of TheTradingZone on Twitter and receive all of our tweet updates.  We are the leader in #emini tweets.

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5×5 scalp trade

Thursday, November 26th, 2009

 TheTradingZone Family wishes all of you
a very Happy Thanksgiving

 Some new and exciting changes for 2010
Hi Folks,
As many have heard me say over the years, I have 1 motto that pushes me every day.
In a word that motto is ‘IMPROVE’
·         Do better today than you did yesterday
·         Learn 1 new thing that can improve your trading
·         Deliver more than you promise
 
ALWAYS IMPROVING
Every year since becoming a trading educator, I sit down around this time of year and make a list of all the comments, criticisms, requests etc.. that have been asked  of me over the last 12 months,  I then attempt to improve our products and services accordingly.
Over the last year there has been one comment that has dominated all others.
 “How can a smaller trader (1-2 lots) possibly hold a big trade when the markets can get so choppy?”
 
 THE ISSUE AT HAND
While it is true that the power of Market Profile cannot be denied, and our methodology has demonstrated time and time again how to capture the big rotation of the trading day, sometimes grabbing 90 plus % of the day’s range….
It is also true that smaller traders may not have the ability to hold the trade and may be more inclined to take a smaller profit.
It is also true, in my own opinion that the last 8-9 months the E-mini SP’s have been somewhat more ‘noisy’ than I have seen in prior years
In addition, using a scale out trade management style, a smaller trader who does not, or cannot participate in the larger moves will need a very high percentage of wins in order to compensate for full stops
THE SOLUTION
The solution is therefore to take a negative and turn it into a positive, let me explain;
Staying with the assertion that in fact the markets are noisier / choppier than they were previously  means that when the price hits a resistance level for example it is more likely to pull back than push through.  Trading the breaks as we often do, we would expect our entry to go against us by 2-3 ticks before rallying through the resistance level.
With the increased noise however , that pullback is more like 8-10 ticks, which means using a much wider stop than we are accustom to…
OR……
INTRODUCING THE 5 X 5
The 5 By 5 Trade addresses all of these issues in an incredibly easy to use setup, let me explain
The term 5 By 5 refers to a quick scalp that uses a 5 tick target and a 5 tick stop
Let’s Trade Inside The Noise!…
What we are witnessing are 3 minute candles that are 10 ticks wide!
By accelerating our charts, and relying on the same TTZ core principles of Market Structure + Price Action, we can trade ‘inside’ the candle and grab some quick profits.
IDEAL FOR SMALLER TRADERS
This quick 5 X 5 is ideal for smaller traders for so many reasons:
1. More trade setups during the day (as many as 3-4 per hour, or up to 20 a day)
2. No Scaling out. The math is easy, all in all out for 5 ticks.
3. Less dependence on trading with the trend
4. Automate your trade management
DEMONSTRATED LIVE
At the recent Las Vegas Traders Expo, I demonstrated this setup by taking a live trade in my own account.  I approached the trade as a small lot trader and took 5 ticks out of the market on 2 contracts +$125.
 
HOW IS IT DONE
The 5 X 5 as mentioned is built on the same core principles of TTZ.
1. Trend vs. Range determination
2. Trend trades only in trending markets
3. Fade and trend trades in range bound markets
4. Trade with MP Market Profile Structure
5. Use Order Flow/ Price Action for execution
While our 3 minute setups considers all of the above equally, the 5 X 5 places more weight on #5 . Use Order Flow/ Price Action for execution
WHAT’S NEXT
There is a big difference between a concept and a system. Trading ideas or concepts while they form the basis for building a system, are NOT a system. A trading system must be:
1. Clear
2. Concise
3.Objective
4.Easy to Identify
5. Easy to Execute
As an 18 veteran of the trading industry I can assure you that far too many traders attempt to trade successfully using ideas, or concepts before they have been wrapped into a well defined Method or System.
I do not make that error. As with our 3 minute TTZ entries, the 5 x 5 will be a set of clearly defined rules and conditions for entry, exit and management.
90% Complete
I am just about 90% complete in finalizing the 5 X 5. Those of you who have attended our training sessions, or the Traders Expo were privy to my thoughts and approach as they developed into building this setup.
The 5 x 5 setup will be complete within the next few weeks, and ready for release!
 
HOW DOES THIS AFFECT THE TTZ CHAT ROOM?
It doesn’t change our focus at all.
The 5 x 5 will be a self contained scalping setup that beyond the introduction and explanation on how to trade it, should not require any ongoing hand holding. Like I said the setup must be clear and objective.
The focus of the chat room, has always been, and will continue to be focused on understanding Market Profile, Determining Market Structure, and finding TTZ 3 minute trades that setup and offer the potential of BIG MOVES. That is the power of Market Profile and we will continue to teach, explain and demonstrate TTZ on that basis
I truly believe that TTZ offers something for every trader, now more than ever!
Newer traders learn the fundamentals of technical analysis, and placing trades.
Experienced traders, discover the Power of Market Profile, and locating BIG Winners.
Smaller scalp traders can now find multiple opportunities throughout t the day for 5 tick winners
As always, I am committed to improving your trading and mine.
 If you’ve been a member of TTZ for some time you have seen how we always strive to improve.
On this Thanksgiving day I say;
 THANK YOU, to all our members for your incredible dedication and support. 
THANK YOU for keeping me motivated to:
Do better today than I did yesterday
Learn 1 new thing that can improve my trading
Deliver more than I promise
 Greg
 

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